{"id":3860,"date":"2018-08-13T12:35:36","date_gmt":"2018-08-13T17:05:36","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/redteamagency.es\/observatorio\/?post_type=avada_portfolio&#038;p=3860"},"modified":"2022-12-29T12:40:28","modified_gmt":"2022-12-29T17:10:28","slug":"que-esperar-del-bolivar-en-2018","status":"publish","type":"avada_portfolio","link":"https:\/\/cedice.org.ve\/ogp\/reporte\/que-esperar-del-bolivar-en-2018\/","title":{"rendered":"\u00bfQu\u00e9 esperar del Bol\u00edvar en 2018?"},"content":{"rendered":"<div class=\"fusion-fullwidth fullwidth-box fusion-builder-row-1 fusion-flex-container has-pattern-background has-mask-background nonhundred-percent-fullwidth non-hundred-percent-height-scrolling\" style=\"background-color: rgba(255,255,255,0);background-position: center center;background-repeat: no-repeat;border-width: 0px 0px 0px 0px;border-color:hsla(var(--awb-color8-h),var(--awb-color8-s),var(--awb-color8-l),calc( var(--awb-color8-a) - 92% ));border-style:solid;\" ><div class=\"fusion-builder-row fusion-row fusion-flex-align-items-flex-start\" style=\"max-width:1248px;margin-left: calc(-4% \/ 2 );margin-right: calc(-4% \/ 2 );\"><div class=\"fusion-layout-column fusion_builder_column fusion-builder-column-0 fusion_builder_column_2_5 2_5 fusion-flex-column\"><div class=\"fusion-column-wrapper fusion-flex-justify-content-flex-start fusion-content-layout-column\" style=\"background-position:left top;background-repeat:no-repeat;-webkit-background-size:cover;-moz-background-size:cover;-o-background-size:cover;background-size:cover;padding: 0px 0px 0px 0px;\"><div ><span class=\" fusion-imageframe imageframe-none imageframe-1 hover-type-none\" style=\"border-radius:8px;\"><a class=\"fusion-no-lightbox\" href=\"https:\/\/cedice.org.ve\/ogp\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/12\/QUE-ESPERAR-DEL-BOLIVAR-EN-2018.pdf\" target=\"_self\" aria-label=\"portada-final\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"816\" height=\"1056\" src=\"https:\/\/cedice.org.ve\/ogp\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/12\/portada-final.webp\" data-orig-src=\"https:\/\/cedice.org.ve\/ogp\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/12\/portada-final.webp\" alt class=\"lazyload img-responsive wp-image-3861\" srcset=\"data:image\/svg+xml,%3Csvg%20xmlns%3D%27http%3A%2F%2Fwww.w3.org%2F2000%2Fsvg%27%20width%3D%27816%27%20height%3D%271056%27%20viewBox%3D%270%200%20816%201056%27%3E%3Crect%20width%3D%27816%27%20height%3D%271056%27%20fill-opacity%3D%220%22%2F%3E%3C%2Fsvg%3E\" data-srcset=\"https:\/\/cedice.org.ve\/ogp\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/12\/portada-final-200x259.webp 200w, https:\/\/cedice.org.ve\/ogp\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/12\/portada-final-400x518.webp 400w, https:\/\/cedice.org.ve\/ogp\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/12\/portada-final-464x600.webp 464w, https:\/\/cedice.org.ve\/ogp\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/12\/portada-final-600x776.webp 600w, https:\/\/cedice.org.ve\/ogp\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/12\/portada-final-768x994.webp 768w, https:\/\/cedice.org.ve\/ogp\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/12\/portada-final-791x1024.webp 791w, https:\/\/cedice.org.ve\/ogp\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/12\/portada-final-800x1035.webp 800w, https:\/\/cedice.org.ve\/ogp\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/12\/portada-final.webp 816w\" data-sizes=\"auto\" data-orig-sizes=\"(max-width: 640px) 100vw, 600px\" \/><\/a><\/span><\/div><\/div><style type=\"text\/css\">.fusion-body .fusion-builder-column-0{width:40% !important;margin-top : 20px;margin-bottom : 20px;}.fusion-builder-column-0 > .fusion-column-wrapper {padding-top : 0px !important;padding-right : 0px !important;margin-right : 4.8%;padding-bottom : 0px !important;padding-left : 0px !important;margin-left : 4.8%;}@media only screen and (max-width:1024px) {.fusion-body .fusion-builder-column-0{width:40% !important;order : 0;}.fusion-builder-column-0 > .fusion-column-wrapper {margin-right : 4.8%;margin-left : 4.8%;}}@media only screen and (max-width:640px) {.fusion-body .fusion-builder-column-0{width:100% !important;order : 0;}.fusion-builder-column-0 > .fusion-column-wrapper {margin-right : 1.92%;margin-left : 1.92%;}}<\/style><\/div><div class=\"fusion-layout-column fusion_builder_column fusion-builder-column-1 fusion_builder_column_3_5 3_5 fusion-flex-column\"><div class=\"fusion-column-wrapper fusion-flex-justify-content-flex-start fusion-content-layout-column\" style=\"background-position:left top;background-repeat:no-repeat;-webkit-background-size:cover;-moz-background-size:cover;-o-background-size:cover;background-size:cover;padding: 0px 0px 0px 0px;\"><div class=\"fusion-text fusion-text-1\"><h2 class=\"fusion-responsive-typography-calculated\" data-fontsize=\"43\" data-lineheight=\"60.2px\">\u00bfQu\u00e9 esperar del Bol\u00edvar en 2018?<\/h2>\n<\/div><div ><style>.fusion-body .fusion-button.button-1{border-radius:10px 10px 10px 10px;}<\/style><a class=\"fusion-button button-flat button-xlarge button-default button-1 fusion-button-default-span fusion-button-default-type\" target=\"_self\" href=\"https:\/\/cedice.org.ve\/ogp\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/12\/QUE-ESPERAR-DEL-BOLIVAR-EN-2018.pdf\" style=\"margin-bottom:20px;\"><span class=\"fusion-button-text\">DESCARGAR PUBLICACI\u00d3N<\/span><\/a><\/div><div class=\"fusion-text fusion-text-2\"><p>El modelo pol\u00edtico-ideol\u00f3gico del Socialismo del siglo XXI, impuesto en Venezuela desde 1999, ha utilizado como una de sus variables macroecon\u00f3micas clave, para el control social y econ\u00f3mico, el tipo de cambio.<\/p>\n<p>El control cambiario establecido desde el 2003 -con el pretexto de impedir salidas masivas de capital por el generalizado paro productivo- ha sido elemento medular de distorsi\u00f3n econ\u00f3mica y de manejo clientelar del erario p\u00fablico.<\/p>\n<p>El envilecimiento creciente y acelerado de moneda venezolana, desde mediados de 2017, anima a evidenciar su perversa relaci\u00f3n con ciertas pol\u00edticas monetarias, as\u00ed como tambi\u00e9n proyectar su alcance para el a\u00f1o en curso, a fin de ofrecer al empresariado y a la ciudadan\u00eda en general, par\u00e1metros de gu\u00eda para su toma de decisiones.<\/p>\n<p>Considerando lo anterior, el Observatorio de Gasto P\u00fablico de Cedice-Libertad junto con el Instituto Hanke de Econom\u00eda Aplicada, desarrollaron el trabajo que a continuaci\u00f3n se presenta, el cual, utilizando la oferta monetaria del periodo enero 2016 \u2013 marzo 2018, modela por tres m\u00e9todos de estimaci\u00f3n (Montecarlo, GARCH y lineal) el nivel de deterioro de nuestra moneda nacional para lo que resta de este a\u00f1o.<\/p>\n<\/div><\/div><style type=\"text\/css\">.fusion-body .fusion-builder-column-1{width:60% !important;margin-top : 20px;margin-bottom : 20px;}.fusion-builder-column-1 > .fusion-column-wrapper {padding-top : 0px !important;padding-right : 0px !important;margin-right : 3.2%;padding-bottom : 0px !important;padding-left : 0px !important;margin-left : 3.2%;}@media only screen and (max-width:1024px) {.fusion-body .fusion-builder-column-1{width:60% !important;order : 0;}.fusion-builder-column-1 > .fusion-column-wrapper {margin-right : 3.2%;margin-left : 3.2%;}}@media only screen and (max-width:640px) {.fusion-body .fusion-builder-column-1{width:100% !important;order : 0;}.fusion-builder-column-1 > .fusion-column-wrapper {margin-right : 1.92%;margin-left : 1.92%;}}<\/style><\/div><\/div><style type=\"text\/css\">.fusion-body .fusion-flex-container.fusion-builder-row-1{ padding-top : 0px;margin-top : 0px;padding-right : 0px;padding-bottom : 0px;margin-bottom : 0px;padding-left : 0px;}<\/style><\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":3861,"menu_order":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"om_disable_all_campaigns":false,"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_uf_show_specific_survey":0,"_uf_disable_surveys":false,"footnotes":""},"portfolio_category":[24],"portfolio_skills":[],"portfolio_tags":[],"class_list":["post-3860","avada_portfolio","type-avada_portfolio","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","portfolio_category-investigaciones"],"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t<!-- All in One SEO 5.0.2.1 - aioseo.com -->\n\t<meta name=\"description\" content=\"\u00bfQu\u00e9 esperar del Bol\u00edvar en 2018? 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DESCARGAR PUBLICACI\u00d3NEl modelo pol\u00edtico-ideol\u00f3gico del Socialismo del siglo XXI, impuesto en Venezuela desde 1999, ha utilizado como una de sus variables macroecon\u00f3micas clave, para el control social y econ\u00f3mico, el tipo de cambio. El control cambiario establecido desde el 2003 -con el pretexto de impedir salidas masivas de capital","og:url":"https:\/\/cedice.org.ve\/ogp\/reporte\/que-esperar-del-bolivar-en-2018\/","article:published_time":"2018-08-13T17:05:36+00:00","article:modified_time":"2022-12-29T17:10:28+00:00","twitter:card":"summary_large_image","twitter:title":"\u00bfQu\u00e9 esperar del Bol\u00edvar en 2018? - CEDICE OGP","twitter:description":"\u00bfQu\u00e9 esperar del Bol\u00edvar en 2018? DESCARGAR PUBLICACI\u00d3NEl modelo pol\u00edtico-ideol\u00f3gico del Socialismo del siglo XXI, impuesto en Venezuela desde 1999, ha utilizado como una de sus variables macroecon\u00f3micas clave, para el control social y econ\u00f3mico, el tipo de cambio. El control cambiario establecido desde el 2003 -con el pretexto de impedir salidas masivas de capital"},"aioseo_meta_data":{"post_id":"3860","title":null,"description":null,"keywords":null,"keyphrases":null,"primary_term":null,"canonical_url":null,"og_title":null,"og_description":null,"og_object_type":"default","og_image_type":"default","og_image_url":null,"og_image_width":null,"og_image_height":null,"og_image_custom_url":null,"og_image_custom_fields":null,"og_video":null,"og_custom_url":null,"og_article_section":null,"og_article_tags":null,"twitter_use_og":false,"twitter_card":"default","twitter_image_type":"default","twitter_image_url":null,"twitter_image_custom_url":null,"twitter_image_custom_fields":null,"twitter_title":null,"twitter_description":null,"schema":{"blockGraphs":[],"customGraphs":[],"default":{"data":{"Article":[],"Course":[],"Dataset":[],"FAQPage":[],"Movie":[],"Person":[],"Product":[],"ProductReview":[],"Car":[],"Recipe":[],"Service":[],"SoftwareApplication":[],"WebPage":[]},"graphName":"","isEnabled":true},"graphs":[]},"schema_type":"default","schema_type_options":null,"pillar_content":false,"robots_default":true,"robots_noindex":false,"robots_noarchive":false,"robots_nosnippet":false,"robots_nofollow":false,"robots_noimageindex":false,"robots_noodp":false,"robots_notranslate":false,"robots_max_snippet":null,"robots_max_videopreview":null,"robots_max_imagepreview":"large","priority":null,"frequency":null,"local_seo":null,"breadcrumb_settings":null,"limit_modified_date":false,"ai":null,"created":"2024-06-29 22:30:22","updated":"2025-07-16 09:22:03","seo_analyzer_scan_date":null,"focus_keyword":null,"additional_keywords":null,"truseo_locale":null},"aioseo_breadcrumb":"<div class=\"aioseo-breadcrumbs\"><span class=\"aioseo-breadcrumb\">\n\t\t\t<a href=\"https:\/\/cedice.org.ve\/ogp\/\" title=\"Home\">Home<\/a>\n\t\t<\/span><span class=\"aioseo-breadcrumb-separator\">\u00bb<\/span><span class=\"aioseo-breadcrumb\">\n\t\t\t<a href=\"https:\/\/cedice.org.ve\/ogp\/reporte\/\" title=\"Portfolio\">Portfolio<\/a>\n\t\t<\/span><span class=\"aioseo-breadcrumb-separator\">\u00bb<\/span><span class=\"aioseo-breadcrumb\">\n\t\t\t<a href=\"https:\/\/cedice.org.ve\/ogp\/portfolio_category\/investigaciones\/\" title=\"Investigaciones\">Investigaciones<\/a>\n\t\t<\/span><span class=\"aioseo-breadcrumb-separator\">\u00bb<\/span><span class=\"aioseo-breadcrumb\">\n\t\t\t\u00bfQu\u00e9 esperar del Bol\u00edvar en 2018?\n\t\t<\/span><\/div>","aioseo_breadcrumb_json":[{"label":"Home","link":"https:\/\/cedice.org.ve\/ogp\/"},{"label":"Portfolio","link":"https:\/\/cedice.org.ve\/ogp\/reporte\/"},{"label":"Investigaciones","link":"https:\/\/cedice.org.ve\/ogp\/portfolio_category\/investigaciones\/"},{"label":"\u00bfQu\u00e9 esperar del Bol\u00edvar en 2018?","link":"https:\/\/cedice.org.ve\/ogp\/reporte\/que-esperar-del-bolivar-en-2018\/"}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/cedice.org.ve\/ogp\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/avada_portfolio\/3860","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/cedice.org.ve\/ogp\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/avada_portfolio"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/cedice.org.ve\/ogp\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/avada_portfolio"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cedice.org.ve\/ogp\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cedice.org.ve\/ogp\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=3860"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/cedice.org.ve\/ogp\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/avada_portfolio\/3860\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":3864,"href":"https:\/\/cedice.org.ve\/ogp\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/avada_portfolio\/3860\/revisions\/3864"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cedice.org.ve\/ogp\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/3861"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/cedice.org.ve\/ogp\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=3860"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"portfolio_category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cedice.org.ve\/ogp\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/portfolio_category?post=3860"},{"taxonomy":"portfolio_skills","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cedice.org.ve\/ogp\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/portfolio_skills?post=3860"},{"taxonomy":"portfolio_tags","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cedice.org.ve\/ogp\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/portfolio_tags?post=3860"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}